Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia vs Belgium

World World

Friendly International Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tielemans Y.
Assist: De Cuyper M.
42'
Baturina M.
49'
De Ketelaere C.

AI Match Summary

Belgium in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Croatia
15%
Draws
45%
Belgium
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Belgium.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia Belgium
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.86 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Friendly International
Croatia vs Belgium
0:2
Dec 1, 2022 World Championship
Croatia vs Belgium
0:0
Jun 6, 2021 Friendly International
Belgium vs Croatia
1:0
Oct 11, 2013 World Championship
Croatia vs Belgium
1:2
Sep 11, 2012 World Championship
Belgium vs Croatia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer Tielemans Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lukaku R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia 30 / 100
Belgium 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia Belgium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Belgium's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Croatia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Croatia VS Belgium
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
England
4 : 2
Croatia
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
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Belgium

(Away)
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
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