Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

Croatia

2 - 1

Ghana

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Sucic P.

Assist: Kovacic M.

46'

Sub

Adjetey J. In: Peprah K.

Out: Adjetey J.

46'

Sub

Owusu E. In: Fatawu I.

Out: Owusu E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Croatia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Croatia

15%

Draws

26%

Ghana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Croatia have won more games recently than Ghana.
Win probability leans Croatia's way, sitting at 40%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Croatia Clean Sheet 68%

Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Croatia	Ghana
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	15	9
Draws	5	7
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.86	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 World Championship

Croatia vs Ghana

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sucic P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vlasic N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ghana Compare

Top Goalscorer Luckassen D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia 50 / 100

Ghana 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Croatia Ghana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ghana conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Croatia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia VS Ghana

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)

02 Jul

Portugal

2 : 1

Croatia

27 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Ghana

23 Jun

Panama

0 : 1

Croatia

17 Jun

England

4 : 2

Croatia

07 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Slovenia

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Ghana

(Away)

24 Sept

Ivory Coast

2 : 0

Ghana

04 Jul

Colombia

1 : 0

Ghana

27 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Ghana

23 Jun

England

0 : 0

Ghana

17 Jun

Ghana

1 : 0

Panama

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