Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Croatia

4 - 0

Montenegro

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Vujacic I. In: Rubezic S.

Out: Vujacic I.

25'

Caleta-Car D.

34'

Bulatovic A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Croatia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Croatia

15%

Draws

37%

Montenegro

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Montenegro.
Win probability leans Croatia's way, sitting at 36%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Croatia Clean Sheet 15%

Montenegro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Croatia	Montenegro
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	15	10
Draws	5	2
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	1.86	1.15
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 World Championship

Montenegro vs Croatia

2:3

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship

Croatia vs Montenegro

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakic K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kramaric A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Montenegro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia 35 / 100

Montenegro 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Croatia Montenegro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Montenegro conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Croatia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Croatia VS Montenegro

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)

02 Jul

Portugal

2 : 1

Croatia

27 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Ghana

23 Jun

Panama

0 : 1

Croatia

17 Jun

England

4 : 2

Croatia

07 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Slovenia

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Montenegro

(Away)

05 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 2

Montenegro

01 Jun

Bulgaria

0 : 1

Montenegro

31 Mar

Montenegro

2 : 3

Slovenia

27 Mar

Montenegro

2 : 0

Andorra

17 Nov

Montenegro

2 : 3

Croatia

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