Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia vs Slovenia

World World

Friendly International Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Karnicnik Z. In: Kuzmic S.
Out: Karnicnik Z.
46'
Sub
Kovacic M. In: Sucic P.
Out: Kovacic M.
46'
Sub
Kramaric A. In: Baturina M.
Out: Kramaric A.

AI Match Summary

Croatia in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Croatia
20%
Draws
29%
Slovenia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Slovenia.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Croatia Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia Slovenia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 13
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Friendly International
Croatia vs Slovenia
2:1
Mar 26, 2022 Friendly International
Croatia vs Slovenia
1:1
Sep 7, 2021 World Championship
Croatia vs Slovenia
3:0
Mar 24, 2021 World Championship
Slovenia vs Croatia
1:0
Aug 20, 2008 Friendly International
Slovenia vs Croatia
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Modric L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasalic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Slovenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sporar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia 41 / 100
Slovenia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia Slovenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Slovenia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Croatia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia VS Slovenia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
England
4 : 2
Croatia
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
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Slovenia

(Away)
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3
Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
18 Nov
Sweden
1 : 1
Slovenia
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