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Stadium Background

Croatia vs Tunisia

World World

Friendly International 2024 30 June Stadium, Cairo
Sat, Mar 23, 2024
1 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kechrida W.
31'
Jelassi H.
46'
Sub
Livakovic D. In: Ivusic I.
Out: Livakovic D.

AI Match Summary

Croatia in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Croatia
15%
Draws
0%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Croatia lately — more wins on the board than Tunisia.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Croatia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Croatia Clean Sheet 68%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia Tunisia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia vs Tunisia
1:0
Jun 11, 2019 Friendly International
Croatia vs Tunisia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia 95 / 100
Tunisia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia Tunisia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croatia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tunisia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tunisia let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Croatia VS Tunisia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
England
4 : 2
Croatia
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
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Tunisia

(Away)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
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