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Crotone U19 vs Livorno U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crotone U19 play Livorno U19 in the Primavera 2 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crotone U19 averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Livorno U19 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Crotone U19 won 2, Livorno U19 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 25, 2020 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Crotone U19 and 1.06 for Livorno U19. This points to a Livorno U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Crotone U19
31%
Draws
43%
Livorno U19
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Livorno U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Crotone U19 picked up more points recently compared to Livorno U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 22%
Livorno U19 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone U19 Livorno U19
Matches Played 39 27
Wins 4 9
Draws 13 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.92 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.97 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Livorno U19
2:0
Sep 28, 2019 Primavera 2
Livorno U19 vs Crotone U19
2:3
Feb 23, 2019 Primavera 2
Livorno U19 vs Crotone U19
1:1
Oct 27, 2018 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Livorno U19
4:4
Apr 18, 2015 Primavera - Group C
Livorno U19 vs Crotone U19
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone U19 28 / 100
Livorno U19 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone U19 Livorno U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Livorno U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crotone U19 attacking → ← attacking Livorno U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U19 scored in 54% of their last 39 games.

Livorno U19 let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Crotone U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Livorno U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 32
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00