Sport Picks
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone 
Match Events
18'
18'
Vitale G.
32'
32'
Todisco G.
49'
49'
Novella M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Audace Cerignola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Audace Cerignola come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
- Audace Cerignola are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Audace Cerignola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Crotone, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Crotone Clean Sheet 12%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Musso A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Audace Cerignola Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 22 / 100
Audace Cerignola 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Audace Cerignola let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Audace Cerignola
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1 Foggia
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2 Cosenza
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
