Sport Picks
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone 
Match Events
18'
18'
Vitale G.
32'
32'
Todisco G.
49'
49'
Novella M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Crotone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Crotone come out ahead of Audace Cerignola on wins alone.
- Crotone are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Crotone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crotone, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crotone Clean Sheet 18%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Musso A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Audace Cerignola Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 58 / 100
Audace Cerignola 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
Audace Cerignola let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Audace Cerignola
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
29 Mar
Crotone
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Mar
Crotone
0 : 1 Salernitana
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Altamura
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1 Latina
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
29 Mar
Crotone
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
09 Mar
Atalanta U23
3 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4
