Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crotone vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Mateus da Silva
Assist: Partipilo A.
62'
Sub
Musso A. In: Tordini M.
Out: Musso A.
62'
Sub
Rodriguez P. In: Brignola E.
Out: Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Crotone and Barletta finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Crotone
35%
Draws
43%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barletta come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
  • Crotone are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Crotone Clean Sheet 16%
Barletta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Barletta
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.43 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Barletta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Veltri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brignola E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus da Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Partipilo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 41 / 100
Barletta 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Crotone scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Crotone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barletta has conceded goals in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Barletta
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

Barletta

(Away)
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
28 Aug
Barletta
3 : 0
Bari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Potenza 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
5 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
6 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
7 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
9 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Monopoli 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
11 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
12 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
13 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Foggia 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Cavese 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 6 0 3 3 5:9 -3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)