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Crotone vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Quaini A.
33'
Groppelli F.
43' Event
Gallo A.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crotone
33%
Draws
27%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Catania.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Crotone taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%
Catania Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Catania
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Catania
2:0
Dec 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Catania
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Catania
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Catania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 50 / 100
Catania 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Catania let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Catania
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 7

Catania

(Away)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)