Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Quaini A.
33'
33'
Groppelli F.
43'
43'
Gallo A.
AI Match Summary
Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Catania.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Crotone Clean Sheet 17%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Catania
2:0
Dec 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Catania
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Catania
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Musso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Catania Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 23 / 100
Catania 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Catania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Catania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Catania let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Crotone went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Catania
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1 Foggia
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2 Cosenza
Page 1 of 3
Catania
(Away) 19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
29 Aug
Monopoli
2 : 0 Catania
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0 Catania
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2 Catania
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
