Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Gomez G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Crotone in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Crotone have won more games recently than Foggia.
- Crotone are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Crotone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crotone, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Crotone here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%
Foggia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Foggia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
3:1
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Foggia
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Crotone
0:3
Apr 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 50 / 100
Foggia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Foggia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crotone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Foggia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Crotone scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Crotone stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Foggia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
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15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1 Foggia
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2 Cosenza
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
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Foggia
(Away) 20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2 Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0 A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1 Salernitana
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2 Foggia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1 Foggia
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0 Foggia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
