Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Gomez G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Crotone in this Coppa Italia Serie C tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Crotone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crotone have won more games recently than Foggia.
- Crotone are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Crotone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crotone, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Crotone here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%
Foggia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Foggia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
3:1
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Foggia
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Crotone
0:3
Apr 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Crotone
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 50 / 100
Foggia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Foggia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Foggia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Crotone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Foggia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
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03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
29 Mar
Crotone
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Mar
Crotone
0 : 1 Salernitana
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Foggia
(Away) 26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3 Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1 Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0 Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0 Trapani
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19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0 Foggia
22 Mar
Cavese
0 : 0 Foggia
15 Mar
Benevento
1 : 0 Foggia
05 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0 Foggia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana-
TBD-
Campobasso3
Casertana0
Giugliano4
Pianese1
Benevento1
Guidonia 19370
Sambenedettese2
Vis Pesaro0
Pineto2
Ascoli3
Carpi1
Trento0
Union Brescia2
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Monopoli1
Cosenza0
Potenza1
Cavese0
Audace Cerignola-
TBD-
Casarano1
Altamura0
Salernitana1
Sorrento2
Picerno1
Trapani2
Crotone1
Catania0
Foggia2
Siracusa1
Rimini-
TBD-
Ravenna2
Cittadella0
Virtus Verona2
Forli FC3
Arzignano2
Triestina1
Lecco0
Ospitaletto1
Lumezzane1
Inter U232
Pergolettese1
Renate2
Juventus U231
Novara0
Vicenza-
TBD-
AlbinoLeffe0
Pro Vercelli3
Giana Erminio1
Atalanta U234
Pro Patria1
Alcione Milano2
Arezzo2
Bra1
Sassari Torres2
Livorno1
Latina1
Gubbio0
Perugia1
US Pontedera0
1/16-finals
Ternana1
Campobasso0
Giugliano2
Benevento0
Sambenedettese2
Ascoli1
Carpi0
Union Brescia1
Monopoli0
Potenza1
Audace Cerignola2
Casarano1
Sorrento2
Trapani1
Crotone1
Foggia0
Rimini0
Ravenna3
Forli FC0
Arzignano1
Ospitaletto1
Inter U232
Renate2
Juventus U231
Vicenza0
Pro Vercelli1
Atalanta U232
Alcione Milano1
Arezzo2
Sassari Torres0
Latina2
Perugia1
1/8-finals
Ternana3
Giugliano1
Sambenedettese1
Union Brescia3
Potenza4
Audace Cerignola2
Sorrento1
Crotone3
Ravenna3
Arzignano0
Inter U232
Renate3
Pro Vercelli5
Atalanta U231
Arezzo0
Latina1
Quarter-finals
Ternana4
Union Brescia1
Potenza3
Crotone1
Ravenna1
Renate2
Pro Vercelli0
Latina1
Semi-finals
Ternana1
Potenza2
Renate2
Latina3
Final
Potenza3
Latina2
