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Crotone vs Giugliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crotone host Giugliano in the Serie C - Group C. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Crotone at 1.43 goals for, 1.39 against; Giugliano at 1.17 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Crotone slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.38, favoring Crotone. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crotone
20%
Draws
44%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giugliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Crotone have won more games recently than Giugliano.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Crotone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Crotone Clean Sheet 17%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Giugliano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Crotone
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Giugliano
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Giugliano
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Crotone
1:3
Mar 2, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Giugliano
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 39 / 100
Giugliano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crotone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Giugliano conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Crotone's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Giugliano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
18 Oct
Bari
0 : 0
Crotone
10 Oct
Crotone
2 : 3
Audace Cerignola
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

Giugliano

(Away)
19 Oct
Giugliano
3 : 1
Foggia
13 Oct
Giugliano
0 : 4
Inter U23
10 Oct
Bari
2 : 0
Giugliano
03 Oct
Giugliano
1 : 0
Barletta
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 11 8 2 1 28:15 26
2 Bari 11 6 3 2 14:7 21
3 Sorrento 11 6 2 3 15:11 20
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Scafatese 10 4 5 1 16:13 17
6 Casertana 11 4 5 2 16:14 17
7 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
8 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
9 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Altamura 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
14 Barletta 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
15 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
16 A.C. Savoia 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
17 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 11 1 3 7 9:23 6
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)