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Crotone vs Latina Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bruno K.
17'
Sub
Musso A. In: Russo D.
Out: Musso A.
19'
Vona A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Crotone and Latina finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Crotone
35%
Draws
32%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crotone come out ahead of Latina on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Crotone Clean Sheet 18%
Latina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Latina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Latina
2:5
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Crotone
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Latina
4:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Crotone
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Latina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Giovannantonio G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fasan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 32 / 100
Latina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Crotone scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Latina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Crotone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Latina
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)