Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crotone vs Salernitana

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
0 - 0
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crotone host Salernitana in the Serie C - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Crotone have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Salernitana's 1.39 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Crotone have won 1 to Salernitana's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.25, favoring Salernitana. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Crotone
35%
Draws
49%
Salernitana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salernitana come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
  • Model gives Salernitana a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Crotone Clean Sheet 19%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Salernitana
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Salernitana
0:1
Nov 10, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Crotone
0:0
Jul 17, 2020 Serie B
Crotone vs Salernitana
1:1
Dec 15, 2019 Serie B
Salernitana vs Crotone
3:2
Mar 10, 2019 Serie B
Salernitana vs Crotone
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 28 / 100
Salernitana 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Salernitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salernitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Salernitana let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Crotone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Salernitana
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

Salernitana

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2
Potenza
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Potenza 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
5 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
6 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
7 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
9 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Monopoli 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
11 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
12 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
13 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Foggia 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Cavese 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 6 0 3 3 5:9 -3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)