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Crotone vs Turris

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Sat, Apr 26, 2025
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crotone host Turris in the Serie C - Group C 2024/2025. Crotone are expected to control this from the start. Turris have shipped 2.15 goals a game lately, while Crotone have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.58. Head-to-head, Crotone have won 2 to Turris's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.83 xG vs 1.25) point toward Crotone. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Crotone
35%
Draws
37%
Turris
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Turris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Crotone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Crotone Clean Sheet 19%
Turris Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Turris
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 13 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.58 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Turris
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Crotone
0:5
Jan 13, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Crotone
0:4
Sep 10, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Turris
2:3
Feb 25, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Turris
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 36 / 100
Turris 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Turris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Turris let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crotone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Turris
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

Turris

(Away)
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
28 Feb
Giugliano
3 : 1
Turris
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)