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Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Sportsplex at Matthews, Matthews, NC
Crown Legacy Logo

Crown Legacy

3 - 1
FT
Chattanooga Logo

Chattanooga

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sangoquiza W.
13'
Sub
Kamdem A. In: Thomas M.
Out: Kamdem A.
25' Event
Subotic A.
Assist: Thomas M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Crown Legacy and Chattanooga finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crown Legacy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Crown Legacy
15%
Draws
53%
Chattanooga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga have managed 2.07 goals a game lately — Crown Legacy are scoring more at 2.55.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Chattanooga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Crown Legacy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 11%
Chattanooga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crown Legacy Chattanooga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 21
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Crown Legacy
1:4
Sep 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga
2:4
Jul 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Crown Legacy
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crown Legacy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbongue H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Subotic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Chattanooga Compare

Top Goalscorer Mangarov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crown Legacy 22 / 100
Chattanooga 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crown Legacy Chattanooga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crown Legacy's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chattanooga has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Crown Legacy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crown Legacy VS Chattanooga
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crown Legacy

(Home)
18 Oct
Crown Legacy
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Orlando City B
3 : 2
Crown Legacy
Page 1 of 6

Chattanooga

(Away)
18 Oct
Chattanooga
3 : 1
New York City II
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
10 Sept
Huntsville City
1 : 2
Chattanooga
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)