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Crown Legacy vs New York Red Bulls II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Sportsplex at Matthews, Matthews, NC
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Match Events

13' Event
Richmond N.
31' Event
Mendoza A.
Assist: Thomas M.
33'
Dieujuste L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Crown Legacy
15%
Draws
34%
New York Red Bulls II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crown Legacy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls II haven't matched Crown Legacy's recent run of results.
  • Crown Legacy are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Crown Legacy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crown Legacy, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Crown Legacy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 13%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crown Legacy New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.57 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
Jul 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Crown Legacy
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs New York Red Bulls II
2:5
Aug 25, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Crown Legacy
1:4
Sep 10, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crown Legacy Compare

Top Goalscorer Richmond N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendoza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosborough T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crown Legacy 66 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crown Legacy New York Red Bulls II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crown Legacy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crown Legacy's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

New York Red Bulls II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crown Legacy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crown Legacy VS New York Red Bulls II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crown Legacy

(Home)
18 Oct
Crown Legacy
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Orlando City B
3 : 2
Crown Legacy
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New York Red Bulls II

(Away)
18 Oct
Crown Legacy
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
11 Oct
New York Red Bulls II
3 : 1
Huntsville City
20 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 2
Huntsville City
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Crown Legacy 2
New York Red Bulls II 1
Chattanooga 3
New York City II 1
Atlanta United 2 0
CT United FC 1
Columbus Crew 2 2
New England Revolution II 1
Austin FC II 2
San Jose Earthquakes II 1
Portland Timbers 2 2
St. Louis City 2 0
Ventura County 3
Minnesota United 2 2
Houston Dynamo 2 2
Los Angeles FC 2 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -