Sport Picks

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Croydon Athletic vs Hemel Hempstead Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
85' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Hemel Hempstead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Croydon Athletic
30%
Draws
28%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croydon Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hemel Hempstead come out ahead of Croydon Athletic on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hemel Hempstead's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Hemel Hempstead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hemel Hempstead, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Croydon Athletic Clean Sheet 13%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croydon Athletic Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2011 FA Trophy
Croydon Athletic vs Hemel Hempstead
0:2
Oct 22, 2011 FA Trophy
Hemel Hempstead vs Croydon Athletic
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croydon Athletic 14 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croydon Athletic Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemel Hempstead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croydon Athletic found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Hemel Hempstead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Croydon Athletic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Croydon Athletic VS Hemel Hempstead
1.6 Goals Scored 0.88
2.4 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Croydon Athletic

(Home)
26 Sept
Waltham Abbey
7 : 1
Croydon Athletic
12 Sept
Croydon Athletic
3 : 0
Raynes Park Vale
05 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 0
Croydon Athletic
29 Aug
Croydon Athletic
3 : 2
Sevenoaks
01 Aug
Croydon Athletic
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Curzon Ashton -
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Farsley -
Barton 2
Shepshed 1
Carlton Town 4
Belper Town 5
Chester -
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Ashton United -
Newcastle Town 1
Woodford 0
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Stafford -
Northwich Victoria -
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Trafford 1
AFC Fylde 4
Garforth 5
Lancaster 1
TBD -
Buxton -
Hednesford -
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Market Drayton 1
Bedworth United 2
Stamford 5
Coalville Town 4
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Matlock -
Stourbridge -
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Redditch -
Nantwich -
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Kendal -
Radcliffe 3
New Mills 2
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Harrogate Railway -
Bradford PA -
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Worksop -
North Ferriby United -
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Ossett Albion 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Burscough -
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Clitheroe 3
Salford 4
Marine -
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Chorley -
Grantham Town -
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Chasetown -
Ossett Town 2
Wakefield 1
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Stocksbridge -
Evesham -
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Barwell -
Sheffield FC 5
Warrington Town 4
Cammell Laird 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Leamington -
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Halesowen 0
Romulus 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
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Quorn 0
Biggleswade Town 5
Whitby -
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Skelmersdale 3
Woodley 4
Durham 2
Prescot Cables 1
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Goole -
Frickley -
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United of Manchester -
Leek Town -
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Rainworth 1
Hucknall 2
Brigg Town 2
Mossley AFC 1
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Witton Albion -
Folkestone -
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Metropolitan Police -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Stourport 2
Daventry 4
Grays 5
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
Whyteleafe 4
Hendon -
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Canvey Island -
Faversham 7
Walton Casuals 5
Tilbury 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Bedford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Margate -
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Ware 0
Chipstead 1
Tooting & Mitcham -
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Wealdstone -
Harrow Borough -
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Hornchurch -
Maldon & Tiptree -
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Merstham -
Hastings -
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Romford 1
Bedfont Sports 4
Harlow -
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Concord Rangers -
Cray Wanderers -
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Lewes -
Bury Town -
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Aveley -
Burgess Hill 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
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Hythe -
Uxbridge -
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Northwood 4
Sittingbourne 5
AFC Hayes 2
Cheshunt 1
Heybridge 0
Potters 1
Cambridge City -
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Rushall -
Needham Market 7
Ramsgate 2
Ilford 2
Redbridge 3
Hitchin -
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Chatham 3
Eastbourne Town 4
Brentwood 1
Leiston 0
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Lowestoft -
Billericay -
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Soham 1
Whitehawk 7
Sutton 5
Rugby 1
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Neots -
Thamesmead 3
Whitstable Town 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Enfield Town 2
Sudbury 6
Great Wakering 1
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Arlesey -
Hemel Hempstead -
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Croydon Athletic -
Mickleover -
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Brackley -
Banbury -
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Leighton Town -
Taunton Town -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Carshalton -
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Beaconsfield Town 0
Bideford 2
Leatherhead -
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Cirencester -
Worthing FC 5
Crawley Town 3
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Bashley -
Marlow -
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Clevedon 1
Didcot 3
Chesham -
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Horsham FC -
Aylesbury Vale -
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Bridgwater United 1
Tiverton 3
Gosport Borough 3
Slough Town 0
Wimborne 0
Sholing 2
Kingstonian -
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Godalming Town -
Chippenham Town -
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Cinderford Town 0
Poole Town 3
Oxford City -
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Bognor Regis 0
Mangotsfield 1
Chertsey Town -
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Abingdon 3
Chalfont St Peter 4
St. Albans -
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Maidstone 1
Ashford Town 3
Thatcham 2
North Leigh 0
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Frome Town -
Totton & Eling -
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Weymouth -
Yate 2
Hungerford 1
Burnham FC 0
Fleet Town 1
Andover -
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Semi-finals
Curzon Ashton 4
Farsley 2
Barton 0
Belper Town 1
Chester 2
Ashton United 1
Newcastle Town 3
Stafford 6
Northwich Victoria 4
AFC Fylde 2
Garforth 2
Buxton 4
Hednesford 1
Bedworth United 0
Stamford 0
Matlock 3
Stourbridge 2
Redditch 1
Nantwich 0
Kendal 1
Radcliffe 2
Harrogate Railway 1
Bradford PA 2
Worksop 5
North Ferriby United 3
Lincoln Utd. 1
Burscough 0
Salford 1
Marine 1
Chorley 0
Grantham Town 0
Chasetown 5
Ossett Town 5
Stocksbridge 4
Evesham 3
Barwell 7
Sheffield FC 3
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Romulus 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Whitby 1
Woodley 3
Durham 3
Goole 2
Frickley 0
United of Manchester 4
Leek Town 4
Hucknall 1
Brigg Town 1
Witton Albion 6
Folkestone 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Daventry 4
Grays 3
Whyteleafe 0
Hendon 0
Canvey Island 4
Faversham 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Bedford 2
East Thurrock Utd 3
Margate 3
Chipstead 1
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Wealdstone 3
Harrow Borough 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hornchurch 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Merstham 0
Hastings 1
Bedfont Sports 3
Harlow 3
Concord Rangers 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lewes 2
Bury Town 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 0
Hythe 1
Uxbridge 3
Sittingbourne 1
AFC Hayes 0
Potters 1
Cambridge City 2
Rushall 0
Needham Market 1
Redbridge 3
Hitchin 3
Eastbourne Town 1
Brentwood 2
Lowestoft 3
Billericay 1
Whitehawk 0
Sutton 1
Neots 3
Thamesmead 2
Enfield Town 0
Sudbury 1
Arlesey 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Croydon Athletic 1
Mickleover 0
Brackley 1
Banbury 1
Leighton Town 0
Taunton Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Carshalton 3
Bideford 1
Leatherhead 1
Cirencester 3
Worthing FC 6
Bashley 4
Marlow 1
Didcot 5
Chesham 5
Horsham FC 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Tiverton 2
Gosport Borough 1
Sholing 0
Kingstonian 0
Godalming Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Poole Town 2
Oxford City 0
Mangotsfield 3
Chertsey Town 2
Chalfont St Peter 0
St. Albans 1
Ashford Town 3
Thatcham 1
Frome Town 0
Totton & Eling 2
Weymouth 3
Yate 5
Fleet Town 0
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Final
Curzon Ashton 2
Belper Town 1
Chester 2
Stafford 0
Northwich Victoria 3
Buxton 0
Hednesford 1
Matlock 2
Stourbridge 9
Kendal 3
Radcliffe 1
Worksop 3
North Ferriby United 3
Salford 0
Marine 5
Chasetown 2
Ossett Town 4
Barwell 2
Sheffield FC 2
Romulus 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Woodley 1
Durham 2
United of Manchester 4
Leek Town 4
Witton Albion 7
Folkestone 4
Daventry 2
Grays 2
Canvey Island 3
Faversham 2
East Thurrock Utd 4
Margate 2
Wealdstone 3
Harrow Borough 1
Hornchurch 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Bedfont Sports 2
Harlow 3
Lewes 2
Bury Town 3
Hythe 2
Uxbridge 5
Potters 2
Cambridge City 1
Redbridge 2
Hitchin 1
Lowestoft 3
Billericay 2
Neots 0
Thamesmead 3
Arlesey 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Brackley 3
Banbury 3
Paulton Rovers 1
Carshalton 3
Cirencester 1
Worthing FC 0
Didcot 2
Chesham 2
Tiverton 3
Gosport Borough 4
Godalming Town 0
Chippenham Town 3
Mangotsfield 1
Chertsey Town 6
Ashford Town 5
Thatcham 2
Weymouth 7
Yate 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
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