Sport Picks
Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí, Garupá 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Giordano A. In: Triverio G.
Out: Giordano A.
28'
28'
Roldan I.
46'
46'
Sub
Santa Cruz M. In: Vera J.
Out: Santa Cruz M.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal 2025 game between Crucero del Norte and Sarmiento de La Banda finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento de La Banda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sarmiento de La Banda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sarmiento de La Banda come out ahead of Crucero del Norte on wins alone.
- Sarmiento de La Banda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Sarmiento de La Banda have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Crucero del Norte Clean Sheet 26%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crucero del Norte | Sarmiento de La Banda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2025 Torneo Federal
Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento de La Banda
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Crucero del Norte
4:1
Jun 8, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Crucero del Norte
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Torneo Federal
Crucero del Norte vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crucero del Norte Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Sarmiento de La Banda Compare
Top Goalscorer Roldan I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pinto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crucero del Norte 10 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crucero del Norte Sarmiento de La Banda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Crucero del Norte scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Sarmiento de La Banda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.
Away concern: Sarmiento de La Banda has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sarmiento de La Banda
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Crucero del Norte
(Home) 13 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3 : 1 Crucero del Norte
06 Sept
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3 Sarmiento Resistencia
01 Sept
El Linqueno
3 : 0 Crucero del Norte
23 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 4 Boca Unidos
17 Aug
Ben Hur
3 : 1 Crucero del Norte
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3 Sarmiento Resistencia
23 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 4 Boca Unidos
09 Aug
Crucero del Norte
1 : 1 Gimnasia E.R.
26 Jul
Crucero del Norte
2 : 3 Sol de America
12 Jul
Crucero del Norte
1 : 1 Boca Unidos
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento de La Banda
(Away) 26 Jul
Tucuman Central
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
12 Jul
Sarmiento de La Banda
2 : 0 San Martin Formosa
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
28 Jun
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
13 Jun
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Tucuman Central
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
13 Jun
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
31 May
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
10 May
San Martin Formosa
4 : 2 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 31:13 | 40 |
| 2 | Villa Mitre | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 22:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 26 |
| 4 | Deportivo Rincon | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22:20 | 26 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Circulo Deportivo | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:29 | 21 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 18:22 | 20 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 10 | Germinal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16:28 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Bolivar | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Costa Brava | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 17:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17:14 | 25 |
| 4 | Argentino MM | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 23 |
| 5 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 14:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Estudiantes | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 9 | Gutierrez Mendoza | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12:34 | 8 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 17:14 | 30 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 18:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16:13 | 26 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 9:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | 20 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:20 | 19 |
| 10 | Ben Hur | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:20 | 18 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 32 |
| 2 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 29:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Atl. Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 26 |
| 4 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:22 | 18 |
| 8 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:27 | 12 |
| 9 | Crucero del Norte | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:30 | 10 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
