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Crumlin Utd vs Greystones United

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2016
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Match Events

28'
87' Event

AI Match Summary

Crumlin Utd host Greystones United in the FAI Cup 2016. Crumlin Utd go into this one as the clear favorite. Crumlin Utd have averaged 2.13 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Greystones United's 0.33 scored and 4.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Crumlin Utd slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2016, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 3.40 vs 1.17, favoring Crumlin Utd. Crumlin Utd in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Crumlin Utd
6%
Draws
4%
Greystones United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Crumlin Utd has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Greystones United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Crumlin Utd.
  • Cup tournament structure in FAI Cup 2016 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Greystones United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin Utd Greystones United
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 14 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 2.13 0.33
Goals Conceded 2 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2016 FAI Cup
Crumlin Utd vs Greystones United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin Utd 85 / 100
Greystones United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin Utd Greystones United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin Utd scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Greystones United let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Crumlin Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Greystones United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crumlin Utd VS Greystones United
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
2 Goals Conceded 4.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
Finn Harps-
TBD-
Greystones United0
Crumlin Utd1
Janesboro4
St John Bosco2
TBD-
Sheriff YC-
Bray-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Wexford-
TBD-
TBD-
Firhouse-
Cabinteely-
TBD-
TBD-
Sligo Rovers-
Bohemians-
TBD-
TBD-
Galway United-
Drogheda-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
St. Patricks-
TBD-
Rockmount0
Pike Rovers1
Bluebell Utd5
Carrigaline Utd0
TBD-
Limerick-
Ringmahon Rangers4
Bandon3
TBD-
Glebe North-
Cherry Orchard2
Killester Donnycarney1
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Midleton-
Letterkenny Rovers3
Portmarnock2
TBD-
Athlone-
Longford-
TBD-
TBD-
Waterford-
Saint Peter's FC2
Leeside1
TBD-
Cork City-
1/16-finals
Dundalk2
Shelbourne0
Finn Harps0
Crumlin Utd1
Janesboro2
Sheriff YC1
Bray3
UC Dublin4
Wexford3
Firhouse0
Cabinteely0
Sligo Rovers3
Bohemians2
Galway United0
Drogheda2
Derry City3
St. Patricks8
Pike Rovers0
Bluebell Utd2
Limerick5
Ringmahon Rangers2
Glebe North1
Cherry Orchard1
Cobh Ramblers2
Shamrock Rovers4
Midleton0
Letterkenny Rovers0
Athlone1
Longford2
Waterford0
Saint Peter's FC0
Cork City4
1/8-finals
Dundalk5
Crumlin Utd0
Janesboro1
UC Dublin3
Wexford2
Sligo Rovers1
Bohemians0
Derry City2
St. Patricks2
Limerick0
Ringmahon Rangers1
Cobh Ramblers4
Shamrock Rovers5
Athlone0
Longford1
Cork City4
Quarter-finals
Dundalk1
UC Dublin0
Wexford1
Derry City3
St. Patricks3
Cobh Ramblers2
Shamrock Rovers0
Cork City5
Semi-finals
Dundalk4
Derry City3
St. Patricks1
Cork City3
Final
Dundalk0
Cork City1