Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Maloney S.
Own Goal
17'
17'
18'
18'
Donnelly J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Crumlin Utd in this FAI Cup 2019 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crumlin Utd lately — more wins on the board than Lucan Utd.
- Win probability leans Crumlin Utd's way, sitting at 40%.
- Crumlin Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crumlin Utd, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crumlin Utd | Lucan Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 18 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 FAI Cup
Crumlin Utd vs Lucan Utd
4:2
Aug 25, 2019 FAI Cup
Crumlin Utd vs Lucan Utd
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crumlin Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer McGreal A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96
Lucan Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Seery P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crumlin Utd 38 / 100
Lucan Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crumlin Utd Lucan Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crumlin Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Crumlin Utd's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lucan Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.
Recent resilience: Crumlin Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crumlin Utd VS Lucan Utd
1.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Crumlin Utd
(Home) 17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0 Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0 Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0 Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2 Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0 Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0 Salthill
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2 Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0 Bluebell Utd
25 Jul
Crumlin Utd
1 : 2 St Mochta's
16 Sept
Crumlin Utd
0 : 2 Bohemians
Page 1 of 4
Lucan Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0 Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1 Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2 Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0 Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2 University College Cork
Page 1 of 4
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1 Lucan Utd
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0 Lucan Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2 Lucan Utd
18 Jul
Collinstown
1 : 2 Lucan Utd
25 Aug
Crumlin Utd
3 : 1 Lucan Utd
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Avondale United 4
Newtown Rangers 3
TBD -
Drogheda -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Collinstown 1
St Mochta's 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Crumlin Utd -
TBD -
University College Cork 0
Malahide United 2
Killester Donnycarney -
TBD -
Aisling Annacotty 1
Lucan Utd 3
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Midleton 1
Glebe North 2
Cobh Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Letterkenny Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
Rockmount 1
Maynooth University 5
St. Michaels 1
Sheriff YC 0
Home Farm 1
Glengad United 2
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
1/16-finals
Shamrock Rovers 1
Finn Harps 0
Avondale United 1
Drogheda 2
Cork City 3
Cabinteely 2
Collinstown 1
Galway United 2
Crumlin Utd 3
Malahide United 1
Killester Donnycarney 1
Lucan Utd 2
Longford 3
Athlone 1
Shelbourne 2
Bohemians 3
Sligo Rovers 8
Glebe North 0
Cobh Wanderers 0
Limerick 1
St. Patricks 2
Bray 1
Letterkenny Rovers 2
UC Dublin 5
Waterford 2
Maynooth University 0
St. Michaels 0
Glengad United 1
Derry City 1
Wexford 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
1/8-finals
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 0
Cork City 0
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 3
Lucan Utd 1
Longford 1
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 6
Limerick 2
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 2
Glengad United 0
Derry City 2
Dundalk 3
Quarter-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 4
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 1
Dundalk 3
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 1
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
