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Crusaders vs Bangor FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Seaview, Belfast
Crusaders Logo

Crusaders

1 - 1
FT
Bangor FC Logo

Bangor FC

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Hughes I.
34'
Sub
Harrison L. In: Devlin O.
Out: Harrison L.
39' Event
Cushnie B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Crusaders and Bangor FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
34%
Bangor FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 68%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Bangor FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Bangor FC
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Bangor FC
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Bangor FC
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Crusaders
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Crusaders
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bangor FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cushnie B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 41 / 100
Bangor FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Bangor FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crusaders scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bangor FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Bangor FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Bangor FC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

Bangor FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Carrick Rangers 38 15 8 15 64:58 53
8 Portadown 38 13 5 20 44:66 44
9 Ballymena 38 10 9 19 46:58 39
10 Bangor FC 38 10 9 19 41:65 39
11 Crusaders 38 10 6 22 48:81 36
12 Glenavon 38 8 4 26 37:69 28
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)