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Crusaders vs Coleraine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crusaders host Coleraine in the NIFL Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Crusaders at 1.46 goals for, 1.57 against; Coleraine at 2.27 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Crusaders have won 0 to Coleraine's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.94) back Coleraine to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
57%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Crusaders haven't matched Coleraine's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Coleraine
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.46 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Crusaders
4:1
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Crusaders
5:1
Jan 9, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Crusaders
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Coleraine
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Coleraine
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 30 / 100
Coleraine 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Crusaders's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Coleraine let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Crusaders stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Coleraine
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
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Coleraine

(Away)
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)