Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crusaders vs Dungannon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Weir R.
22'
Scott J.
67'
Dunne D.

AI Match Summary

Crusaders in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
42%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dungannon have won more games recently than Crusaders.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 15%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Dungannon
Matches Played 28 38
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.54 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Dungannon
3:0
Jan 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Dungannon
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Crusaders
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Crusaders
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Crusaders
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Weir R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rough S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dungannon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 31 / 100
Dungannon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Dungannon let in goals in 66% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Crusaders stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Dungannon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Dungannon

(Away)
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
22 Aug
Dungannon
2 : 0
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)