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Crusaders vs Glebe

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2014/2015 Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
27' Event
(Penalty)
28' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Crusaders advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
26%
Glebe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Glebe have managed 1.57 goals a game lately — Crusaders are scoring more at 1.58.
  • Win probability leans Crusaders's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 16%
Glebe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Glebe
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.58 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2014 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Glebe
6:1
Aug 27, 2012 Irish League Cup
Crusaders vs Glebe
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 84 / 100
Glebe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Glebe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Crusaders scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Glebe let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Crusaders remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Crusaders
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1
Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
Page 1 of 7

Glebe

(Away)
27 Jul
Glebe
0 : 7
Carrick Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2
Chimney
17 Aug
Cookstown RBL
2 : 3
Glebe
18 Aug
Glebe
1 : 2
Bangor FC
06 Jan
Linfield
5 : 0
Glebe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Moyola 2
Sport & Leisure 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 2
Loughgall 8
PSNI 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ards -
Ballyclare 1
Limavady 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Newington FC 2
Banbridge 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Dundela -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Annagh 4
Dergview 2
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glebe 4
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portstewart 5
Queens University 0
TBD -
Bangor FC -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymoney 0
Dollingstown 0
Institute 2
Glenavon 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Moyola 1
Glentoran 2
Dungannon 1
Loughgall 0
PSNI 1
Ards 4
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Newington FC 0
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 6
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda 4
Donegal 0
Annagh 2
Portadown 5
Crusaders 6
Glebe 1
Larne 0
Coleraine 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Warrenpoint 1
Portstewart 0
Bangor FC 2
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 0
Glenavon 1
Glentoran 5
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Knockbreda 1
Portadown 3
Crusaders 3
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Bangor FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Glentoran 1
Dungannon 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 0
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 4
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Bangor FC 3
Final
Ballymena 2
Cliftonville 3