Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Crusaders host Larne in the NIFL Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Crusaders have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Larne's 1.58 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.25, favoring Larne. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Crusaders haven't matched Larne's recent run of results.
- Model gives Larne a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crusaders | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Crusaders scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Larne let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.
Crusaders went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Crusaders
(Home)Larne
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Linfield | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Larne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 4 | Dungannon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 7 | Glentoran | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Carrick Rangers | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Ballymena | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 10 | Limavady | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 5 |
| 12 | Portadown | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:17 | 1 |
