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Crusaders vs Limavady

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Lowry P.
34'
Sub
Blaney J. In: Rough S.
Out: Blaney J.
43'
Forsythe K.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Crusaders and Limavady finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Limavady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
21%
Limavady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limavady come out ahead of Crusaders on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 20%
Limavady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Limavady
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Limavady
1:2
Jul 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Limavady
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Irish Cup
Crusaders vs Limavady
1:0
Oct 8, 2019 Irish League Cup
Limavady vs Crusaders
1:4
Apr 19, 2008 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Limavady
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunlop E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Limavady Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowry P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGonigle J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 31 / 100
Limavady 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Limavady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Limavady conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Crusaders has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Limavady
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2
Portadown
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
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Limavady

(Away)
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0
Limavady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Linfield 6 5 0 1 7:4 15
3 Cliftonville 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Dungannon 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
5 Larne 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
6 Carrick Rangers 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
7 Crusaders 6 3 0 3 10:12 9
8 Glentoran 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
9 Ballymena 5 1 1 3 8:9 4
10 Limavady 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
11 Bangor FC 6 0 2 4 3:13 2
12 Portadown 6 0 0 6 3:13 0
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)