Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crusaders vs Nortel

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2010/2011 Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Crusaders advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
26%
Nortel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders have managed 1.4 goals a game lately — Nortel are scoring more at 2.33.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Crusaders taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Crusaders, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 16%
Nortel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Nortel
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.4 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2011 Irish Cup
Crusaders vs Nortel
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 48 / 100
Nortel 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Nortel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nortel let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Crusaders has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Crusaders
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1
Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

Nortel

(Away)
01 Oct
Richhill
:
Nortel
22 Aug
Crumlin United
3 : 2
Nortel
09 Nov
Nortel
0 : 2
Drumaness
12 Feb
Crusaders
2 : 1
Nortel
15 Jan
Foundry
0 : 2
Nortel
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Crusaders -
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Crusaders -
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Newry City -
Foundry -
TBD -
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Crewe 2
Draperstown 1
Seagoe 1
Ardstraw 6
Dromara 7
Lisanally Rangers 3
Holywood 1
Downshire Y.M. 2
Wellington Rec 5
Strabane FC 0
Laurelvale 2
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Camlough 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Saintfield 2
Barn 3
Downpatrick 2
Drumaness 1
Fivemiletown 2
Nortel 6
Lisburn Distillery -
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Chimney -
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Dundela -
Larne -
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Bangor FC -
Dergview -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
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Killymoon -
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Annagh -
Crumlin United 1
Mossley FC 0
Hanover 2
Bloomfield 5
Ards Rangers 9
Ballynure 2
Bangor Rangers 1
Malachians 5
TBD -
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Armagh -
PSNI -
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Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
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Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
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Ards -
Donegal -
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Portadown -
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Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
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Islandmagee 4
Rathfern Rangers 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Abbey Villa 2
Newington Rangers 2
East Belfast 1
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Dungiven -
Tobermore -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Moyola -
Banbridge -
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Magherafelt 2
Mountjoy 1
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 5
Richhill -
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AFC Craigavon 1
Shankill 2
Limavady -
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Wakehurst -
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Coleraine -
Dungannon -
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Knockbreda -
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Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
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Comber Rec 4
Raceview 2
Lower Maze 1
Grove 4
Lisburn Rangers 6
Donard 1
Newcastle 1
Dollingstown 5
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Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec -
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Desertmartin 0
Brantwood 2
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Shorts 2
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Broomhedge 5
TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
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Ardglass 3
Sirocco 1
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Bangor Swifts -
Killyleagh Youth 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
Bangor Old Boys 3
Kilmore Rec 6
Institute -
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Tandragee 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Groomsport 3
Kilbride 4
Derriaghy -
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Newington FC -
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Linfield -
1/128-finals
Crusaders -
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Crusaders -
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Newry City -
Foundry 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Crewe 1
Ardstraw 2
Dromara 3
Downshire Y.M. 1
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
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Camlough 2
Barn 0
Downpatrick 0
Nortel 4
Lisburn Distillery -
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Chimney -
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Dundela -
Larne -
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Bangor FC -
Dergview -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
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Killymoon -
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Annagh -
Crumlin United 4
Bloomfield 1
Ards Rangers 2
Malachians 4
TBD -
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Armagh -
PSNI -
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Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
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Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
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Ards -
Donegal -
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Portadown -
Glentoran -
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Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
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Islandmagee 3
Abbey Villa 2
Newington Rangers 2
Dungiven 3
Tobermore -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Moyola -
Banbridge -
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Magherafelt 2
Bryansburn 0
Richhill 0
Shankill 3
Limavady -
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Wakehurst -
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Coleraine -
Dungannon -
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Knockbreda -
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Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
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Comber Rec 3
Grove 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dollingstown 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec 1
Brantwood 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Broomhedge 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
TBD -
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Ardglass 4
Bangor Swifts 1
Killyleagh Youth 2
Kilmore Rec 4
Institute -
TBD -
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Tandragee 3
Kilbride 2
Derriaghy 2
Newington FC 3
TBD -
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Linfield -
1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
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Crusaders 3
Newry City 2
Foundry 6
Ardstraw 3
Dromara 1
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
TBD -
Camlough 0
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
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TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Dergview -
TBD -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Crumlin United 2
Malachians 1
TBD -
Armagh -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Dungiven 3
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Shankill 1
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Comber Rec 4
Dollingstown 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec 5
Broomhedge 0
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
TBD -
Ardglass 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Newington FC 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Foundry 3
Rosario Youth 1
Glebe 1
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Chimney 0
Dundela 5
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Annagh 2
Crumlin United 3
Armagh 2
PSNI 2
Queens University 3
Harland & Wolff 4
Ballyclare 2
Coagh Utd 2
Ards 5
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure 5
Dungiven 3
Tobermore 3
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 6
Moyola 1
Banbridge 0
Shankill 1
Limavady 2
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Knockbreda 0
Ballymoney 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Comber Rec 2
Warrenpoint 3
Dunmurry Rec 3
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute 1
Newington FC 0
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders -
Newry City -
Foundry 0
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Dundela 1
Larne 2
Ballinamallard 6
Glenavon 6
Annagh 2
Crumlin United 0
Queens University 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 2
Donegal 3
Portadown 4
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Sport & Leisure 2
Loughgall 6
Carrick Rangers 9
Shankill 4
Limavady 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 5
Ballymoney 1
Cliftonville 1
Warrenpoint 2
Dunmurry Rec 7
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute 1
Linfield 5
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Nortel 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Ballinamallard 6
Glenavon 2
Queens University 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Portadown 2
Glentoran 3
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Linfield 4
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 5
Ballinamallard 0
Glenavon 3
Portadown 6
Glentoran 5
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 0
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 0
Linfield 2
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 2