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Crusaders vs Portadown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Brooks A.
21'
Flanagan F.
32' Event
Brooks A.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Crusaders and Portadown finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
49%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portadown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portadown are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 11%
Portadown Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Portadown
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Crusaders
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
0:4
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Crusaders
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Altintop B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fyfe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 22 / 100
Portadown 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portadown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portadown let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Crusaders's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: Portadown has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Portadown
1 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
31 Oct
Limavady
1 : 4
Crusaders
24 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 5
Coleraine
21 Oct
Warrenpoint
5 : 2
Crusaders
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 3
Larne
Page 1 of 7

Portadown

(Away)
30 Oct
Larne
1 : 0
Portadown
23 Oct
Portadown
1 : 2
Linfield
20 Oct
Portadown
0 : 2
Cliftonville
17 Oct
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Portadown
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 14 10 3 1 21:11 33
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Cliftonville 14 6 0 8 23:17 18
6 Carrick Rangers 14 5 3 6 23:27 18
7 Crusaders 14 6 0 8 20:29 18
8 Ballymena 12 4 3 5 17:16 15
9 Dungannon 13 4 3 6 13:18 15
10 Limavady 14 4 2 8 14:23 14
11 Bangor FC 14 2 3 9 12:26 9
12 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)