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Crusaders vs Portadown

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Brooks A.
21'
Flanagan F.
32' Event
Brooks A.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Crusaders and Portadown finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
12%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Crusaders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Crusaders are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 11%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Portadown
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Crusaders
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
0:4
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Crusaders
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Altintop B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fyfe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 83 / 100
Portadown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crusaders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portadown let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Crusaders's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Portadown has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Portadown
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

Portadown

(Away)
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)