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Crusaders W vs Derry City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mcintyre R.
26' Event
Nelson J.
52' Event
Crumlish-Hawes C.

AI Match Summary

Derry City W in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crusaders W
15%
Draws
45%
Derry City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders W have won more games recently than Derry City W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders W Derry City W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.73 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
2:3
Jul 3, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:3
May 8, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
0:3
Sep 5, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stachura M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mcintyre R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Crumlish-Hawes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders W 34 / 100
Derry City W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders W Derry City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Derry City W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Crusaders W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Crusaders W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders W VS Derry City W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
4.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders W

(Home)
04 Oct
Crusaders W
2 : 3
Derry City W
25 Sept
Lisburn Ladies W
2 : 3
Crusaders W
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
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Derry City W

(Away)
04 Oct
Crusaders W
2 : 3
Derry City W
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
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