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Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Cruz Azul Hidalgo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
28%
Draws
50%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gavilanes de Matamoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul Hidalgo come out ahead of Gavilanes de Matamoros on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gavilanes de Matamoros a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cruz Azul Hidalgo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 20%
Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Hidalgo Gavilanes de Matamoros
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:0
Apr 17, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul Hidalgo 24 / 100
Gavilanes de Matamoros 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Gavilanes de Matamoros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul Hidalgo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Gavilanes de Matamoros let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Cruz Azul Hidalgo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

(Home)
26 Jul
Tapatio
0 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
16 May
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Irapuato
10 May
Irapuato
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
02 May
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
30 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6

Gavilanes de Matamoros

(Away)
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0
Zacatepec
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0
Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1
Gavilanes de Matamoros0
Alacranes de Durango0
Cafetaleros de Chiapas0
Inter Playa Del Carmen3
Colima FC3
Irapuato5
Reboceros de La Piedad2
Semi-finals
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2
Alacranes de Durango2
Inter Playa Del Carmen1
Irapuato2
Final
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1
Irapuato3