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Cruz Azul U21 vs Atlas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Camacho X.
47' Event
64' Event

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cruz Azul U21
15%
Draws
42%
Atlas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul U21 have won more games recently than Atlas U21.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atlas U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul U21 Atlas U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Atlas U21
3:2
Jan 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Atlas U21
0:3
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atlas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul U21 30 / 100
Atlas U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul U21 Atlas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Cruz Azul U21 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Atlas U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul U21 VS Atlas U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul U21

(Home)
01 Nov
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
25 Oct
Queretaro U21
5 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
21 Oct
Pachuca U21
3 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
17 Oct
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
11 Oct
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

Atlas U21

(Away)
30 Oct
Atletico San Luis U21
4 : 1
Atlas U21
25 Oct
Atlas U21
1 : 2
Puebla U21
21 Oct
Atlas U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
16 Oct
Necaxa U21
1 : 2
Atlas U21
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 15 15 0 0 36:10 41
2 Club Leon U21 15 12 0 3 27:19 31
3 Club America U21 15 8 0 7 22:19 25
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 15 8 0 7 23:25 25
5 Necaxa U21 16 9 0 7 18:20 25
6 Puebla U21 14 8 0 6 19:15 24
7 Juarez U21 16 8 0 8 19:19 24
8 Club Tijuana U21 15 8 0 7 20:22 24
9 Atlante U21 16 8 0 8 24:28 24
10 Monterrey U21 14 8 0 6 31:22 23
11 UNAM Pumas U21 15 6 0 9 17:19 23
12 Atletico San Luis U21 16 8 0 8 30:33 22
13 Santos Laguna U21 16 7 0 9 17:21 21
14 Pachuca U21 15 5 0 10 18:23 20
15 Atlas U21 15 4 0 11 18:24 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 15 5 0 10 20:27 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 15 6 0 9 23:29 15
18 Queretaro U21 14 3 0 11 21:28 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)