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Cruz Azul vs Atl. Nacional

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ibanez N.
61' Event
Romero L.
79' Event
Levy M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cruz Azul and Atl. Nacional finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Cruz Azul
28%
Draws
50%
Atl. Nacional
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atl. Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atl. Nacional a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 16%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Atl. Nacional
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 19
Draws 12 2
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Cruz Azul vs Atl. Nacional
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atl. Nacional Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 23 / 100
Atl. Nacional 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Atl. Nacional

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Cruz Azul has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Atl. Nacional
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%