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Cruz Azul vs Juarez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul host Juarez in the Liga MX. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Cruz Azul at 1.76 goals for, 1.38 against; Juarez at 1.29 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Cruz Azul have won 3 to Juarez's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back Cruz Azul to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cruz Azul
35%
Draws
37%
Juarez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 19%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Juarez
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Cruz Azul
3:4
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Juarez
3:2
Jan 18, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Cruz Azul
1:0
Oct 24, 2024 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Juarez
4:0
Jan 20, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Cruz Azul
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 36 / 100
Juarez 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Juarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruz Azul scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Juarez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cruz Azul stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Juarez
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul

(Home)
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 7

Juarez

(Away)
10 Oct
Juarez
1 : 1
Club Tijuana
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 11 5 3 3 17:18 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 5 2 4 22:21 17
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Pachuca 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 3 4 4 17:19 13
13 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
14 Santos Laguna 11 4 1 6 12:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 11 3 3 5 15:20 12
16 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
17 Necaxa 11 2 3 6 15:23 9
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)