Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1, Ciudad de Mexico
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Huerta R. F. T.
Assist: Maldonado M.
36' Event
Cruz B.
Assist: Calderon D.
57'
Acevedo V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Cruz Azul W and Atlas W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cruz Azul W
33%
Draws
27%
Atlas W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul W come out ahead of Atlas W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 20%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul W Atlas W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
4:6
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
4:0
Jan 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calderon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huerta R. F. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul W 40 / 100
Atlas W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul W Atlas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul W found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Atlas W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cruz Azul W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul W VS Atlas W
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul W

(Home)
03 May
Monterrey W
4 : 0
Cruz Azul W
30 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
Monterrey W
25 Apr
Cruz Azul W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
04 Apr
Toluca W
0 : 4
Cruz Azul W
02 Apr
Atletico San Luis W
3 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 7

Atlas W

(Away)
25 Apr
Atlas W
1 : 2
Juarez W
05 Apr
Atlas W
1 : 1
Santos Laguna W
02 Apr
Club America W
2 : 0
Atlas W
28 Mar
Atlas W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
24 Mar
Club Leon W
4 : 0
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul W11003:13
2Santos Laguna W00000:00
3Tigres UANL W00000:00
4Monterrey W00000:00
5Toluca W00000:00
6Club Leon W00000:00
7Queretaro W00000:00
8Juarez W00000:00
9Atlante W00000:00
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas W00000:00
2Club Tijuana W00000:00
3Pachuca W00000:00
4Club America W00000:00
5Guadalajara Chivas W00000:00
6Necaxa W00000:00
7Puebla W00000:00
8Atletico San Luis W00000:00
9Atlas W10011:30
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)