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Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Centenario, Cuernavaca
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Huerta R. F. T.
Assist: Maldonado M.
36' Event
Cruz B.
Assist: Garcia D.
57'
Acevedo V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Cruz Azul W and Atlas W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cruz Azul W
15%
Draws
37%
Atlas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul W come out ahead of Atlas W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul W Atlas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
4:6
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
4:0
Jan 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huerta R. F. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul W 74 / 100
Atlas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul W Atlas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atlas W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cruz Azul W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cruz Azul W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul W VS Atlas W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul W

(Home)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

Atlas W

(Away)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)