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Cruz Azul W vs UNAM Pumas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Centenario, Cuernavaca
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Garcia D.
15'
Mendoza A.
24' Event
Martinez A.
Assist: Garcia D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Cruz Azul W and UNAM Pumas W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cruz Azul W
15%
Draws
26%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas W haven't matched Cruz Azul W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs UNAM Pumas W
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Cruz Azul W
3:1
Feb 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Cruz Azul W
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs UNAM Pumas W
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanu U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chinchilla P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul W 30 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Cruz Azul W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Cruz Azul W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul W VS UNAM Pumas W
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul W

(Home)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)