Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2009/2010

Estrela Calheta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cruzado Canicense play Estrela Calheta in the Taça de Portugal 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cruzado Canicense averaged 1 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Estrela Calheta averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Cruzado Canicense won 1, Estrela Calheta won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 12, 2009 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Cruzado Canicense and 1.52 for Estrela Calheta. This points to a Cruzado Canicense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Cruzado Canicense

15%

Draws

32%

Estrela Calheta

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzado Canicense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Cruzado Canicense picked up more points recently compared to Estrela Calheta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.52 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Cruzado Canicense Clean Sheet 15%

Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cruzado Canicense	Estrela Calheta
Matches Played	6	7
Wins	2	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	5
Goals Scored	1	0.71
Goals Conceded	2.33	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.33	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 Taça de Portugal

Cruzado Canicense vs Estrela Calheta

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzado Canicense 51 / 100

Estrela Calheta 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cruzado Canicense Estrela Calheta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzado Canicense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Cruzado Canicense & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cruzado Canicense attacking → ← attacking Estrela Calheta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzado Canicense scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Estrela Calheta let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cruzado Canicense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Estrela Calheta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 6

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.71

2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00