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Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Coruripe

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Hudson
36' Event
Pedro Lucas
37'
Rocha W.

AI Match Summary

Cruzeiro Arapiraca in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruzeiro Arapiraca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
30%
Draws
47%
Coruripe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coruripe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Coruripe's 0.9.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 18%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Arapiraca Coruripe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Coruripe
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Alagoano
Coruripe vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Coruripe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Lucas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva R. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Coruripe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Guimaraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro Arapiraca 36 / 100
Coruripe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Coruripe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coruripe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coruripe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cruzeiro Arapiraca scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro Arapiraca VS Coruripe
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Home)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
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Coruripe

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)