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Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Guarany Alagoano

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025 Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kelwin Silva de Oliveira E.
75' Event
Dias de Oliveira A. P.
86' Event
Ronan
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cruzeiro Arapiraca host Guarany Alagoano in the Alagoano 2 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Guarany Alagoano have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Cruzeiro Arapiraca have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Cruzeiro Arapiraca have won 1 to Guarany Alagoano's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.75, favoring Guarany Alagoano. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
11%
Draws
80%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany Alagoano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Guarany Alagoano.
  • Cup tournament structure in Alagoano 2 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 12%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Arapiraca Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Alagoano 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Guarany Alagoano
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelwin Silva de Oliveira E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dias de Oliveira A. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro Arapiraca 11 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Guarany Alagoano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro Arapiraca scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Guarany Alagoano let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guarany Alagoano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro Arapiraca VS Guarany Alagoano
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Guarany Alagoano3
Agrimaq1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca4
Dimensao Capela2
Final
Guarany Alagoano3
Cruzeiro Arapiraca4