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Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Mineirão
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kaio Jorge
(Penalty)
32'
Sinisterra L.
39'
Sub
Eduardo Doma In: Vinicius Eduardo
Out: Eduardo Doma

AI Match Summary

Cruzeiro in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruzeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cruzeiro
11%
Draws
9%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cruzeiro lately — more wins on the board than Chapecoense-SC.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cruzeiro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Serie B
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro
0:2
Nov 25, 2020 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro
0:1
Aug 21, 2020 Serie B
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinisterra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro 76 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Chapecoense-SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Chapecoense-SC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cruzeiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro VS Chapecoense-SC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1995529:2432
4Bragantino1993726:2030
5Athletico-PR1893624:1830
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359