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Cruzeiro DF vs Santa Maria

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 game between Cruzeiro DF and Santa Maria finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cruzeiro DF
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cruzeiro DF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Maria come out ahead of Cruzeiro DF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cruzeiro DF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cruzeiro DF Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro DF Santa Maria
Matches Played 21 36
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2016 Brasiliense
Cruzeiro DF vs Santa Maria
1:2
Mar 1, 2015 Brasiliense
Cruzeiro DF vs Santa Maria
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro DF 85 / 100
Santa Maria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro DF Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Difficult form: Santa Maria registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cruzeiro DF scored in 52% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santa Maria
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro DF

(Home)
02 Apr
Luziania
2 : 0
Cruzeiro DF
27 Mar
Cruzeiro DF
0 : 0
Clube Atletico Taguatinga (Inactive)
20 Mar
Bosque Formosa
1 : 0
Cruzeiro DF
16 Mar
Planaltina
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF
11 Mar
Cruzeiro DF
2 : 4
Brasilia FC (DF)
Page 1 of 5

Santa Maria

(Away)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luziania1174018:625
2Brasiliense1163217:921
3Gama1154211:519
4Ceilandia1147012:519
5Brasilia FC (DF)1144314:1116
6Santa Maria1143413:1415
7Unai EC1143410:1115
8Sobradinho113538:1014
9Clube Atletico Taguatinga (Inactive)112729:813
10Bosque Formosa112548:1111
11Planaltina111199:254
12Cruzeiro DF110297:212
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2016 (Play Offs)