Sport Picks
Cruzeiro vs Athletico-PR Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie A Betano Mineirão, Belo Horizonte 
Match Events
30'
30'
Matheus Pereira
Assist: Gerson
33'
33'
Rojas G.
43'
43'
Matheus Henrique
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Cruzeiro and Athletico-PR finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletico-PR
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Athletico-PR come out ahead of Cruzeiro on wins alone.
- Cruzeiro are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruzeiro | Athletico-PR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Athletico-PR
3:1
Mar 18, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Cruzeiro
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Cruzeiro
3:0
Jun 26, 2024 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Athletico-PR
2:0
Nov 30, 2023 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Athletico-PR
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruzeiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Pereira
1 Goals Assists Leader Romero L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Cruz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruzeiro 36 / 100
Athletico-PR 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruzeiro Athletico-PR
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruzeiro's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Athletico-PR has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Cruzeiro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cruzeiro VS Athletico-PR
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruzeiro
(Home) 20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3 Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
26 Aug
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Atletico-MG
22 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 Flamengo RJ
13 Aug
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Flamengo RJ
09 Aug
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Mirassol
Page 1 of 3
Athletico-PR
(Away) 20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
09 Aug
Santos
0 : 2 Athletico-PR
06 Aug
Vitoria
4 : 0 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
