Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Ruan Tressoldi In: Vitao
Out: Ruan Tressoldi
46'
Sub
Jonathan Jesus In: Joao Marcelo
Out: Jonathan Jesus
46'
Franco A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cruzeiro
30%
Draws
37%
Atletico-MG
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cruzeiro have won more games recently than Atletico-MG.
  • Cruzeiro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Cruzeiro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Atletico-MG
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.53 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro
2:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG
1:1
May 3, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Mineiro
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Mineiro
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Lodi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro 42 / 100
Atletico-MG 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Atletico-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Atletico-MG has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cruzeiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro VS Atletico-MG
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro

(Home)
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
26 Aug
Cruzeiro
1 : 1
Atletico-MG
22 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 1
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG

(Away)
05 Sept
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
26 Aug
Cruzeiro
1 : 1
Atletico-MG
22 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0
Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
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Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
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Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Corinthians -
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
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Tombense -
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Oratorio -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
Trem -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
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Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
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Maranhao -
Ceara -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
TBD -
Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
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AE Altos -
Avai -
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Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ -
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Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
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Capital -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Azuriz -
Santos -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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TBD -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Palmeiras -
Final
TBD -
TBD -