Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Sub
Fabricio Bruno In: Vina M.
Out: Fabricio Bruno
19'
19'
Acevedo N.
32'
32'
Olivera C.
Assist: Rodrigo Nestor
AI Match Summary
Cruzeiro in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruzeiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cruzeiro have won more games recently than Bahia.
- Cruzeiro are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cruzeiro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 14%
Bahia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruzeiro | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 6, 2026 Serie A
Cruzeiro vs Bahia
3:2
May 10, 2026 Serie A
Bahia vs Cruzeiro
1:2
Sep 15, 2025 Serie A
Bahia vs Cruzeiro
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Serie A
Cruzeiro vs Bahia
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie A
Cruzeiro vs Bahia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruzeiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaio Jorge
2 Goals Assists Leader Bruno Rodrigues
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Olivera C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Veliz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruzeiro 75 / 100
Bahia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruzeiro Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cruzeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruzeiro found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).
Bahia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Cruzeiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cruzeiro VS Bahia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruzeiro
(Home) 29 Oct
Atletico-MG
0 : 1 Cruzeiro
23 Oct
Cruzeiro
1 : 0 Remo
18 Oct
Gremio
2 : 4 Cruzeiro
13 Oct
Bragantino
4 : 2 Cruzeiro
08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 7
23 Oct
Cruzeiro
1 : 0 Remo
08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
26 Aug
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Atletico-MG
22 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
Bahia
(Away) 29 Oct
Bahia
3 : 2 Sao Paulo
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3 Flamengo RJ
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
