Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Camilo Reijers
20'
Anderson
33'
Marcinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cruzeiro
30%
Draws
12%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cruzeiro lately — more wins on the board than Chapecoense-SC.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Cruzeiro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cruzeiro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 68%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0
Aug 2, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro
0:0
May 24, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Serie B
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Cruzeiro
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro 77 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruzeiro scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Chapecoense-SC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Cruzeiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro VS Chapecoense-SC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro

(Home)
05 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0
Cruzeiro
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1
Cruzeiro
26 Jul
Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Botafogo RJ
23 Jul
Internacional
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
05 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0
Cruzeiro
25 Jul
Santos
2 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
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Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
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Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Corinthians -
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Mirassol -
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
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Tombense -
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Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
Trem -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
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Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
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Maranhao -
Ceara -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
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Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
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AE Altos -
Avai -
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Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ -
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Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
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Capital -
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Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Azuriz -
Santos -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
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Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
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Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
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TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional -
Gremio -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
Santos -
Semi-finals
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Final
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