Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruzeiro W vs Fluminense W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare), Sete Lagoas
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gaby Soares
17' Event
Tainara
37' Event
Capelinha

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Cruzeiro W and Fluminense W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cruzeiro W
20%
Draws
47%
Fluminense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense W come out ahead of Cruzeiro W on wins alone.
  • Fluminense W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cruzeiro W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 14%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro W Fluminense W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.29 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Fluminense W vs Cruzeiro W
2:1
Mar 26, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Fluminense W
3:2
Mar 27, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Cruzeiro W
1:2
Jun 9, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Fluminense W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaby Soares
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tainara
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sochor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keke
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro W 19 / 100
Fluminense W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro W Fluminense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Fluminense W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Cruzeiro W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro W VS Fluminense W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro W

(Home)
31 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
15 Aug
Mixto W
1 : 2
Cruzeiro W
09 Aug
Gremio W
2 : 0
Cruzeiro W
01 Aug
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
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Fluminense W

(Away)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)