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Cruzeiro W vs LDU Quito W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. This has Cruzeiro W written all over it on paper. Cruzeiro W have averaged 2.71 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against LDU Quito W's 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Cruzeiro W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cruzeiro W
25%
Draws
35%
LDU Quito W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cruzeiro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito W haven't matched Cruzeiro W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Cruzeiro W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Quito W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro W LDU Quito W
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.71 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro W 85 / 100
LDU Quito W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro W LDU Quito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cruzeiro W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro W VS LDU Quito W
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro W

(Home)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 6

LDU Quito W

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corinthians W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Universitario de Deportes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Independiente del Valle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional de Football W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)