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Cruzeiro W vs Libertad Asuncion W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sub
Ketlin In: Leticia Alves
Out: Ketlin
53' Event
Machado V.
58' Event
Leticia Alves
Assist: Machado V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cruzeiro W
20%
Draws
20%
Libertad Asuncion W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cruzeiro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Cruzeiro W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cruzeiro W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Cruzeiro W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cruzeiro W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 20%
Libertad Asuncion W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro W Libertad Asuncion W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.76 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores Women
Cruzeiro W vs Libertad Asuncion W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leticia Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Libertad Asuncion W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro W 85 / 100
Libertad Asuncion W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro W Libertad Asuncion W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruzeiro W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Cruzeiro W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Libertad Asuncion W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro W VS Libertad Asuncion W
4.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro W

(Home)
29 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion W
26 Oct
Cruzeiro W
3 : 0
Libertad Asuncion W
23 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion W
0 : 3
Cruzeiro W
19 Oct
Cruzeiro W
3 : 0
Bolivar W
17 Oct
Cruzeiro W
2 : 1
LDU Quito W
Page 1 of 6

Libertad Asuncion W

(Away)
26 Oct
Cruzeiro W
3 : 0
Libertad Asuncion W
22 Oct
Libertad Asuncion W
2 : 2
Club Nacional W
20 Oct
Libertad Asuncion W
2 : 1
U. De Chile W
16 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 1
Libertad Asuncion W
12 Oct
Colo Colo W
1 : 0
Libertad Asuncion W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corinthians W 5
Independiente del Valle W 0
Palmeiras W 2
Indep. Santa Fe W 3
Cruzeiro W 3
Libertad Asuncion W 0
Dep. Cali W 0
Olimpia Asuncion W 1
Semi-finals
Corinthians W 2
Indep. Santa Fe W 1
Cruzeiro W 1
Olimpia Asuncion W 0
Final
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 5
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Olimpia Asuncion W 3