Sport Picks
Crvena zvezda vs Lille
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade 
Match Events
4'
4'
Giroud O.
Assist: Andre B.
36'
36'
Tebo Uchenna F.
46'
46'
Sub
Enem J. In: Arnautovic M.
Out: Enem J.
AI Match Summary
Lille in this Europa League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crvena zvezda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lille haven't matched Crvena zvezda's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Crvena zvezda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lille, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Crvena zvezda here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 18%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crvena zvezda | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Europa League
Crvena zvezda vs Lille
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Europa League
Lille vs Crvena zvezda
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Europa League
Crvena zvezda vs Lille
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crvena zvezda Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lille Compare
Top Goalscorer Giroud O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ngoy N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crvena zvezda 31 / 100
Lille 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crvena zvezda Lille
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crvena zvezda scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Crvena zvezda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Lille conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Crvena zvezda VS Lille
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Crvena zvezda
(Home) 17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
30 Aug
Zemun
0 : 2 Crvena zvezda
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
23 Aug
Crvena zvezda
4 : 0 Cukaricki
20 Aug
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Plzen
11 Aug
Crvena zvezda
0 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
08 Aug
Crvena zvezda
2 : 0 Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 4
Lille
(Away) 13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2 Lille
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2 Lille
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6 Lille
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
