Sport Picks
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Super Liga Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade 
Match Events
29'
29'
Elsnik T.
45'
45'
Katai A.
Assist: Ivanic M.
56'
56'
Veljkovic M.
AI Match Summary
Crvena zvezda in this Mozzart Bet Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crvena zvezda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crvena zvezda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crvena zvezda lately — more wins on the board than Novi Pazar.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Crvena zvezda taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Crvena zvezda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 68%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crvena zvezda | Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
2:0
May 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
1:2
Mar 5, 2026 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
5:0
Aug 31, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crvena zvezda Compare
Top Goalscorer Katai A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Enem J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Novi Pazar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crvena zvezda 77 / 100
Novi Pazar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crvena zvezda Novi Pazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crvena zvezda's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Crvena zvezda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Novi Pazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Crvena zvezda VS Novi Pazar
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Crvena zvezda
(Home) 20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
23 Aug
Crvena zvezda
4 : 0 Cukaricki
20 Aug
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Plzen
11 Aug
Crvena zvezda
0 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 4
Novi Pazar
(Away) 19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2 Zemun
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1 Novi Pazar
04 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Macva Sabac
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0 Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1 Novi Pazar
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0 Novi Pazar
08 Aug
Crvena zvezda
2 : 0 Novi Pazar
26 Jul
Mladost Lucani
0 : 0 Novi Pazar
01 Jul
Macva Sabac
2 : 1 Novi Pazar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 11 | Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17:19 | 8 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Macva Sabac | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:17 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)
