Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Backulja F.
24'
Hadzimujovic A.
27'
Manev J.

AI Match Summary

Novi Pazar in this Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novi Pazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Crvena zvezda
6%
Draws
4%
Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Crvena zvezda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda have won more games recently than Novi Pazar.
  • Win probability leans Crvena zvezda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 20%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crvena zvezda Novi Pazar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
1:2
Mar 5, 2026 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Novi Pazar
5:0
Aug 31, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
1:5
May 17, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Crvena zvezda
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crvena zvezda Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnautovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotzebue V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson Agwom D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crvena zvezda 85 / 100
Novi Pazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crvena zvezda Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crvena zvezda scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Crvena zvezda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crvena zvezda VS Novi Pazar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crvena zvezda

(Home)
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4
Crvena zvezda
17 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0
Macva Sabac
12 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 1
Crvena zvezda
03 Jul
Crvena zvezda
2 : 2
BW Linz
29 Jun
Crvena zvezda
1 : 1
Slovan Bratislava
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Novi Pazar

(Away)
18 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 0
Radnicki 1923
09 Jul
Novi Pazar
0 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
01 Jul
Macva Sabac
2 : 1
Novi Pazar
28 Jun
Mladost Lucani
3 : 1
Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crvena zvezda372755100:3186
2Vojvodina37237766:3576
3Partizan37227872:4573
4Zeleznicar Pancevo3716111050:3759
5Novi Pazar3714101346:5452
6OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet3712131249:4749
7Radnik Surdulica3711131344:4846
8Cukaricki3710151247:5045
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)